Toronto Condo Crash: Lessons for Vancouver Buyers

Toronto skyline with high-rise condos, illustrating urban housing markets and condo trends in Canada

For years, Canadians were told real estate was one of the safest investments they could make. Prices seemed to rise year after year, and pre-construction condos were marketed as an easy path to building wealth. Glossy ads, celebrity endorsements, and the promise of “getting in early” convinced thousands of investors to jump in. But as recent stories show, pre-sales can carry serious risks, especially when markets shift. 

Key Takeaways

  • A pre-sale purchase is a binding commitment, even when completion is years away.
  • Assignment sales depend on developer approval and finding another qualified buyer.
  • A lower appraisal at completion can leave the buyer responsible for a significant financing shortfall.
  • Small units may be more difficult to finance through some lenders.
  • Buyers should be financially prepared to complete the purchase and obtain independent advice before signing.

Nizar's Story: A Harsh Lesson

Maclean’s told us the story of Montrealer Nizar Tajdin. In 2022, Nizar believed he was making a smart financial move. Encouraged by a realtor who specialized in pre-construction deals, he put down a deposit on a Toronto condo in the Forest Hill area. The plan wasn’t to live there; it was to flip the purchase agreement in what’s called an assignment sale.

During the condo boom, assignment sales were common. Buyers would resell their contracts before construction finished, often making tens of thousands of dollars without ever moving in. Nizar was told he could double his deposit.
But by 2024, the market had cooled sharply. Condo prices fell, buyers disappeared, and his realtor stopped returning calls. When it came time to close, Nizar couldn’t secure financing. The developer kept his deposit and, as Maclean’s reported, went further by suing him for damages. Now Nizar faces years of legal battles and the possibility of bankruptcy.

Sara’s Experience: A Middle-Class Buyer Caught in the Downturn

Nizar’s case isn’t unique. Sara, a single mother from Toronto, invested $116,000 into a 323-square-foot pre-construction condo in 2020. Like many, she grew up believing property was the responsible way to build wealth. Her plan was simple: rent the condo out for a few years, then sell at a profit.

But the Bank of Canada’s rapid interest rate hikes changed everything. Mortgage costs soared and condo values dropped. By the time she went to close, the unit had appraised $220,000 lower than her purchase price. Many lenders refused to finance such a small unit, leaving her without options. She lost her deposit and faces the risk of further legal claims from the developer.

Looking up at modern condo balconies, representing high-density housing and pre-sale condo developments

What Went Wrong

Stories like these highlight how fragile the pre-sale system can be. Developers rely on pre-sales to finance construction, so their sales teams push hard to get buyers signed up. As long as demand is strong, the system works. But when demand falls, buyers are left exposed.

Today, many developers in Toronto are sitting on unsold units. Some projects have been delayed, cancelled, or even abandoned mid-construction. Lawsuits against buyers who can’t close have become more common, and investors who once expected easy profits are now struggling with losses.

How Vancouver Compares

So, how does all this stack up against the market here in Vancouver? The short answer: Vancouver faces similar pressures, but the situation isn’t nearly as severe as Toronto’s.

As of late 2025, both Toronto and Vancouver were experiencing pressure in their condo markets. Since 2022, sales had slowed sharply in both cities, leaving many buyers and investors on the sidelines. Investors in particular were feeling the squeeze as rising mortgage payments outpaced what they could earn in rent. Developers responded by delaying projects, converting some condos into rental buildings, and offering incentives to buyers in an effort to keep sales moving.

Where the two cities diverge is in the severity of the downturn. Toronto has seen double-digit price declines since the peak, while Vancouver’s corrections have been far more modest. This means local buyers here have not faced the same level of financial losses. Toronto’s market also leaned heavily on speculative flipping of pre-sales, a practice that magnified risks when the market turned. Vancouver certainly has its share of investors, but stricter policies such as the foreign buyer ban, the empty homes tax, and tighter rules around short-term rentals have kept speculation somewhat more contained. Finally, Toronto is grappling with a massive backlog of unsold units, whereas Vancouver’s inventory, though rising, is still at more manageable levels.

The takeaway? Vancouver buyers should stay cautious, but there’s no need for panic. Our market hasn’t experienced the same dramatic plunge Toronto has, and long-term fundamentals here, like strong population growth and limited land supply, remain supportive.

What Buyers Should Keep in Mind

If you’re considering a pre-sale condo today, there are important lessons to take from Toronto’s struggles:
  • Don’t assume you can flip your contract. Assignment sales depend on finding another buyer, and that can be difficult in a slower market.
  • Check whether the unit is mortgageable. Very small condos (under 400 sq. ft.) can be harder to finance.
  • Be prepared to close. If values drop, your lender may finance only the appraised value, leaving you to make up the difference.
  • Always have independent representation. Don’t rely solely on the developer’s sales team. Work with your own realtor and lawyer to protect your interests.
Exterior of a modern condo building with stacked balconies, reflecting condo living and real estate market conditions

Final Thoughts

The condo market is shifting, and stories like those of Nizar Tajdin and Sara are important reminders of the risks. But Vancouver’s situation is not the same as Toronto’s. While we’re seeing slower sales and rising inventory, the declines here have been smaller, and the fundamentals remain stronger.

The bottom line? Stay informed, do your homework, and make sure you have the right guidance before signing a pre-sale contract. Real estate can still be a powerful way to build wealth—but only when you understand both the risks and rewards.

If you’re thinking about a pre-sale purchase in Greater Vancouver, let’s connect. I can walk you through the numbers, highlight the risks, and help you make a confident decision. 

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Frequently Asked Questions

What is a pre-sale condo?

A pre-sale condo is purchased from a developer before construction is complete. The buyer signs a contract and usually pays deposits in stages, with the remaining purchase price due when the home is ready and the sale completes.

What is an assignment sale?

An assignment sale occurs when the original buyer transfers their rights and obligations under the purchase contract to another buyer before completion. Assignments may require the developer’s permission and can involve additional fees, taxes, and legal considerations.

What happens if a pre-sale condo appraises below the purchase price?

A lender may calculate the mortgage using the lower appraised value rather than the original purchase price. The buyer could then be required to provide additional money to cover the financing shortfall and complete the purchase.

Can a buyer lose their deposit if they cannot complete a pre-sale purchase?

Yes. A buyer who cannot complete the purchase may lose their deposit. The developer may also pursue the buyer for additional losses, depending on the contract and circumstances. Anyone facing this situation should obtain independent legal advice immediately.

Are small condos more difficult to finance?

They can be. Some lenders have restrictions involving minimum unit sizes, property use, location, or marketability. Buyers considering a very small condo should confirm financing requirements with a mortgage professional before signing the purchase contract.

Can buyers rely on selling or assigning the contract before completion?

They should not assume that an assignment will be possible. The contract may restrict assignments, the developer may need to approve the transfer, and another qualified buyer must be willing to take over the purchase. Buyers should be prepared to complete the original transaction themselves.

Why should pre-sale buyers obtain independent representation?

The developer’s sales team represents the developer’s interests. A buyer’s own Realtor and lawyer can explain the contract, identify risks, review assignment restrictions, and help the buyer understand their financial obligations before signing.

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